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Lecture 26: Crime

rational criminal model
costs of crime


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Rational Criminal Model

The rational criminal model assumes that the decision to committ a crime is one of risk versus return. A legal job has a low return but carries no risk of being arrested. Crime provides a high return but there is a risk of being caught and punished.

implications:

  1. crime falls when legal income rises
  2. crime falls when the likelihood and consequences of getting caught rise


Costs of Crime

costs of a crime

The costs of crime have been estimated to be between $2000 and $3000 per average crime ($500 if pain and suffering of the victims is ignored).

The average criminal commits 15-20 crimes a year. So, the savings from keeping the average criminal off the street is between $7500 and $60,000 a year. Compare this to the average cost of holding a criminal in jail, $22,000.


1794 U.S. 
silver dollar David A. Latzko
Business and Economics Division
Pennsylvania State University, York Campus
office: 13 Main Classroom Building
phone: (717) 771-4115
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web: www.yk.psu.edu/~dxl31
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B.C. 'Victory Decadrachm of Syracuse'